Stock pick for 10/31/2011

Dear trader,

I like to write few words about market. After Europe news indices gaped up and stayed strong for rest of the week. If we look weekly time frame charts there are room for more upside action next week, but after long scanning over weekend it was really hard to find low risk chart for new setup right now. Many day time frame charts are extended and we all know that for low risk setup we need to see pattern. I found LNKD and V as interesting daily chart and also intraday setup possibility but I like to note that It will be risky to take them right after open. I like to wait at least first 5 min to see open action. We saw many gaps open last days and because of that use LNKD and V only if they won’t open with gap, in any other case I will send email update or I will post it in the live trading room. For possible short side I have several ideas and I was separate DRIV and MOS. I like MOS for swing as daily CCI divergence and 50sma daily reversal possibility. That will be in case those sellers will come out. I still think that patience is very good friend of use and I will use it. I don’t have strong bias and I will just follow market action so we will see. In day’s like that it is very good to scan for weak and strong intraday charts and compare them with market action and they use them depends on direction.

I truly hope that all this have sense what I tried to explain. Here are ideas what I like to show you:

Wish you all great trading day

Ivica

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Stock pick for 10/28/2011

Dear traders,

I like to note again that risk is same as yesterday and no changes on that side. All ideas what I gave look interesting to me, but I like to repeat that is at this moment important to be very careful with risk. My bias is more for short side, maybe because that was action after similar news before few months and because of resistance on weekly charts, but also we can see buying continuation. All those ideas have swing potential but without market direction it will be hard for them.

Wish you all great trading day and wish you all wonderful weekend.
Kind regards

Ivica

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Stock pick for 10/27/2011

Dear traders,
I believe that you can see that trading not going well as usually and reason for that is news market. It is absolutely impossible to know how market will open day after with small risk. My focus is always finding smallest risk as possible with biggest rewards as possible, but in news market that is for me impossible. I like to note that I look for low risk. If you want high risk (for me that is gambling) setup then absolutely no problems, but that is not my style. Markets have technical reasons for very whippy action over 60 min time frame charts, even on daily/weekly time frame. I will give little information. DIA is at weekly and daily resistance (50sma weekly and 200sma daily). The SPY is very close to same resistance areas and still has small room for bounce or whippy reaction. QQQ is close to previous weekly high. Since all indices are "near" bigger resistance areas, that mean all have room for another 60 min bounce, but also it won't be strange to see reversal, because resistance is here and it will be easy to give comment if that will happen. But I try to explain why risk high is right now. Technically we can see bounce and another day-two upside action, but since resistance is very close reversal won't be surprise. If we add to all this information's that Europe news can affect on action then risk will increase in already high risk. I hope that I explained why risk higher is for me. I think that is absolutely true fast. Now, question is what to do. For only swing traders I want to say that cash is also position and it will be smartest to wait and see what will be market reaction. For others who like intraday trading or swing trading and need to trade my recommendation is to use maximum 50% usual risk. Personally I will be in first category, but since I know that I have members who use scalps and day trades I will look for those setups. Smallest risk right now will be with scalps and 5 min setups and that mean maximum 1-2 hour in trade, because after morning move doldrums can bring opposite direction and all can change. At least we had that kind of action last days. My apologies for email members if there won't be much action, but I will try to find good setup on time, because it is not easy to send scalp over email. I hope that have sense. Anyway, I want to note that tomorrow will market be here and day after. Since I started this business I was avoid high risk periods and I was only waiting. I know that during those periods profit can be bigger than usual, but same can be with loss and my plan is to stay here longer term. If anyone will have any question for any setup or any other question please joins us for free trial (very small monthly fee) or just send me email and I will be glad to help you.
Wish you all good trading day
Ivica Juracic
p.s. patience is traders one of best friends



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Stock pick for 10/25/2011

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Long ideas:

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PLEASE NOTE:

The primary focus of my service is to find Swing Trades. I look for intraday setups that have a potential to become swing trades. Since my membership is diverse I do post additional ideas (day trades, position trades and scalp trades). It is up to you to decide which trades are appropriate for your trading style. I do NOT personally take every trade. Your success depends on YOU taking trades you understand and like. I am always available to contact for additional trade explanation.

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TRADING THE OPEN

During normal market conditions our regular setups generally do very well regardless what time they are taken. Trading right at the open always adds risk. It is recommended that new trades not be taken for the first 5 minutes the market is open. I will treat each new trade that sets up during this time as a gap trade and wait till the stock comes back and takes out its 15 minute high or low.

Trading is risky. It is our job as traders to reduce this risk and increase our chances of success.

IMPORTANT: Take only the opportunities that you really like and understand. Always enter a trade with a trading plan. If you have any questions, please feel free to ask me. There is a much greater chance of success in your trading if you understand the trade. That is very important. Taking just a few trades is enough to be a successful trader. Overtrading is probably the number one reason new traders fail. I personally mostly take swing trades. Please remember to keep that in mind!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

If you have any questions, please feel free to contact me.

Good luck trading today!

Ivica Juracich

XpertStockTrader.com

Stock pick for 10/25/2011

Dear traders,

Market is not far from another stronger resistance area. For DIA that is daily 200sma and for SPY it is weekly 50sma and after that daily 200sma. I don’t know if indices will have strength for that, but for now pace suggest that SPY will see 127.62 areas what daily 200sma resistance area is. Anyway I want to say since indices is not far from resistance risk will increase and I will look for smaller and smaller time frame setup for long trades. On the other side I’m looking weak charts like JOE and I think that if market strength will stop that JOE could break down and see all time low. In trading room we will be focused on same ideas and on the morning I will look for possible 5/15 min setups and after doldrums time focus will be on 15 min time frame setups for long side if market will hold. When market come closer or reach technical support or resistance area then it is best to find own way chart and I think that JOE could be one of them. DECK is also candidate but I’m not ready at this moment to use bigger daily stop to confirm that

If anyone will have any question please feel free to contact me and I wish you all great trading day

Kind regards

Ivica

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Stock pick for 10/24/2011

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Stock pick for 10/21/2011

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Stock pick for 10/20/2011

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Stock pick for 10/19/2011

Dear traders,

I like to write few words about market before today ideas. Last days were difficult (at least for me) because indices reached weekly resistance area. We can see that on the SPY weekly chart. Right now SPY is at 20sma and previous high resistance area. Pace is strong and chart doesn’t suggest that we will see strong pull back at this moment. If SPY will hold we can see buying continuation to another resistance and it isn’t far. Honestly I don’t have bias and I still think that we are in news market. Anytime any news can move market strong in any direction. Then we can forget what charts suggest or not. All that telling us that trading risk is higher and we can’t change that, but we can change our risk. For me that mean I will trade with very small risk and I will cut trade numbers until situation will be more clear. I don’t know how long that can be, but I know that only what we can do is to cut risk when market is risky. Also I like to note that cash is also position and sometime it will be smart to stay cash.

If anyone will have any question please let me know

All best

Ivica Juracic

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long ideas

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Stock pick for 10/18/2011

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Goods day all,

For today session prepared two ideas. One is short and I will use it for swing. It is WPI daily bear flag. If we look at monthly chart we can see very strong uptrend action, but also we can see CCI divergence what suggest for pull back. After strong move down from high WPI formed flag with much weaker pace then selling pace what suggest for another selling wave and reversal pattern (avalanche). On the other side I like SPWRA bounce possibility after daily consolidation. Monday brought doji bar and I will look for long above it and run to $10 previous high and number resistance area. SPWRA sitting at strong monthly support and with CCI support suggests that odds for that action are very high.

If anyone will have any question about of those ideas feel free to contact me

Wish you all good trading day

Ivica Juracic

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Stock pick for 10/15/2011

Church & Dwight Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets a range of household, personal care, and specialty products under various brand names in the United States and internationally.

Technically CHD forming daily triangle pattern with third try to break above $45 resistance area. My interest is above that resistance and I will look for run at least to previous high what is around $46 number resistance. Depends on pace I will look also for possible move to equal move resistance area (blue line) and $47 area.

Wish you all good trading day

Ivica Juracic

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Stock pick for 10/14/2011

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Stock pick for 10/13/2011

CF Industries Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, CF Industries, Inc., manufactures and distributes nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products, serving agricultural and industrial customers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Nitrogen and Phosphate.

After strong weekly pull back, CF bounced as whole market and reached strong resistance area and we can see that on daily chart (20/200sma), weekly chart (50sma) and monthly y chart (10sma). I will use CF 60 min triangle for trading plan and after setup it will be important to follow pace. Pace will tell us if we can expect from CF swing or not.

Wish you all best trading day

Ivica Juracic

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Stock pick for 10/12/2011

OPEN idea is reversal pattern and bounce continuation. We can see that OPEN consolidates under 20sma (blue line). First target is weekly 10sma resistance and next one is daily 50sma and also equal move resistance area. Lots of expectations will depends on pace and volume after setup.

Wish you all best trading day

Ivica Juracic

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Stock pick for 10/11/2011

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Corporate Office Properties Trust, a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in the acquisition, development, ownership, management, and leasing of suburban office properties. We can see that OFC bounced from low after CCI divergence. Bounce was very strong on higher volume and after that OFC started with consolidation under 10sma resistance area. Monday brought narrow range day and I will look for long continuation and another buying wave. First resistance will be 20sma (blue line) and after that previous high and 24 area will be next one. If you look at weekly time frame chart we can see another CCI divergence what will support long idea. Trading plan is on the chart and if anyone will have any question please feel free to contact me.

Wish you all best trading day

Ivica Juracic

Stock pick for 10/10/2011

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Dear Trader!

Here is Xpertstocktrader.com Trade Statistic for September 2011:

Watch list results

Number of wining trades: 38
Number of Losing trades: 26
Average wining trade: +6.18%
Average losing trade: -2.15 %
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Total return for September 2011: +173.24%


For detailed results please click on the link below:
http://www.xpertstocktrader.com/performance/
Live trading room results

Number of wining trades: 63
Number of Losing trades: 41
Average wining trade: +5.46%
Average losing trade: -1,93 %
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Total return for September 2011: +264.03%

http://www.xpertstocktrader.com/2011/performance/092011.htm

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Stock pick for 10/07/2011

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Stock pick for 10/06/2011

Dear traders,

I found that many charts went strong to 1^st resistance area. It is daily 10sma or 15 min 200sma and after two days up on strong pace and with very possible gap up open I’m really caution to take any new short trade right now. I like INTU 15 min chart but I’m afraid that open action will eat most of upside room. Now what to do? After that strong bounce it is not easy to take swing short because bounce was to strong. But I will look for intraday setups over %gainers/losers list in hope that I will found bull trap or something like that on individual name what could lead us in trend day for that individual chart. I want to say that today activity will depends on intraday scanning. I think that is really too risky to bring any trading plan without seeing open action. Over email all updates will come. If anyone have any question why I think that is this best way for today open please let me know.

Wish you all great trading day.

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Trade of the day for 10/05/2011

Entry chart

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Stock pick for 10/05/2011

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Just few words.

Most charts have room for day two upside action. I don’t expect that selling is over but market need some relief (at least charts say so at this moment). On the other side 60 min charts are extended after big bounce yesterday and it will be best if we will see some 15 min rest before setup, but if that won’t happen my advice is to took those swings with less risk then normal. If we will see setup after doldrums time then normal risk. If anyone will have any questions feel free to contact me.

Wish you best trading g day

Ivica

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Trade of the day for 10/04/2011

Entry chart

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Stock pick for 10/03/2011

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